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Phoenix·May 16, 2026·2 min read
Carl BrownBy Carl Brown

Merrill Kelly’s Next Start at Coors Field Will Tell If His Turnaround Sticks

Merrill Kelly followed a strong seven-inning outing with his first real test: a start at Coors Field against the Colorado Rockies. Despite recent improvement, his season numbers remain elevated and the Diamondbacks need him to show consistent command in a hitter-friendly environment.

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Merrill Kelly gave the Diamondbacks a much-needed lift in his most recent outing, throwing seven innings against a struggling Mets lineup and looking more like the veteran the club has relied on in the past. That performance was encouraging, but Kelly’s season numbers still paint a stark picture: a 7.62 ERA and an expected ERA north of 9.90, evidence that he has been hit hard and has had only modest defensive fortune on his side.

Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher in the black alternate uniform delivers a pitch during a start, charging into a stretch where he must build on recent improved outings.Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher in the black alternate uniform delivers a pitch during a start, charging into a stretch where he must build on recent improved outings.

Friday’s assignment will take Kelly to Coors Field, a place where the ball carries and exit velocity is amplified by elevation. The venue represents a difficult environment for pitchers trying to re-establish command, yet Kelly has had surprising success against Colorado over his career, which complicates simple predictions about how this start will go.

Across 17 career appearances versus the Rockies, Kelly owns a 3.25 ERA and a 9-3 record, striking out 102 batters in 108 innings. His numbers at Coors Field specifically are better than many might expect for a pitcher there long-term: a 4.12 ERA and a 4.41 FIP in the mile‑high park.

Those career splits are encouraging, but the Rockies have been producing at home this season, ranking among the top 10 offenses at Coors and showing more competence away from Denver than in years past. A team record of 17-27 overall does not necessarily translate to diminished threat in its home ballpark.

This will be Kelly’s sixth start of the season after opening the year on the injured list with a back issue. Early outings showed rust, which was understandable coming off the IL, but the club will be looking for clearer evidence of command now that he is past the initial ramp-up. Kelly’s work in his fifth and sixth starts last year marked a turning point, and the Diamondbacks will be hoping for a similar trajectory this season.

The immediate requirements are straightforward: more strikes, fewer pitches left over the heart of the plate and reduced hard contact. The Diamondbacks do not need perfection from the 37-year-old, but they do need him to resemble the pitcher who has had success against Colorado if they want him to settle in and contribute consistently.

Arizona Diamondbacks starter in the grey road jersey winds up for a pitch, photographed as the veteran looks to find consistency for the club.Arizona Diamondbacks starter in the grey road jersey winds up for a pitch, photographed as the veteran looks to find consistency for the club.

Kelly’s trip to Coors Field is more than a single start; it’s a measuring stick for whether his recent improvement can hold up in a challenging environment and serve as a foundation for the next stretch of the season.

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